Gartner defines a
strategic technology trend as one with substantial disruptive potential that is
just beginning to break out of an emerging state into broader impact and use or
which are rapidly growing trends with a high degree of volatility reaching tipping
points over the next five years.
The top 10 strategic
technology trends for 2017 are:
AI and
Advanced Machine Learning
Artificial intelligence (AI) and advanced machine learning
(ML) are composed of many technologies and techniques (e.g., deep learning,
neural networks, natural-language processing [NLP]). The more advanced
techniques move beyond traditional rule-based algorithms to create systems that
understand, learn, predict, adapt and potentially operate autonomously. This is
what makes smart machines appear "intelligent."
Intelligent
Apps
Intelligent apps such as VPAs perform some of the functions
of a human assistant making everyday tasks easier (by prioritizing emails, for
example), and its users more effective (by highlighting the most important
content and interactions). Other intelligent apps such as virtual customer
assistants (VCAs) are more specialized for tasks in areas such as sales and
customer service. As such, these intelligent apps have the potential to
transform the nature of work and structure of the workplace.
Intelligent Things
Intelligent things refer to physical things that go beyond
the execution of rigid programing models to exploit applied AI and machine
learning to deliver advanced behaviors and interact more naturally with their
surroundings and with people. As intelligent things, such as drones, autonomous
vehicles and smart appliances, permeate the environment, Gartner anticipates a
shift from stand-alone intelligent things to a collaborative intelligent things
model.
Virtual and
Augmented Reality
Immersive technologies, such as virtual reality (VR) and
augmented reality (AR), transform the way individuals interact with one another
and with software systems. VR and AR capabilities will merge with the digital
mesh to form a more seamless system of devices capable of orchestrating a flow
of information that comes to the user as hyperpersonalized and relevant apps
and services. Integration across multiple mobile, wearable, Internet of Things
(IoT) and sensor-rich environments will extend immersive applications beyond
isolated and single-person experiences. Rooms and spaces will become active
with things, and their connection through the mesh will appear and work in
conjunction with immersive virtual worlds.
Digital Twin
A digital twin is a dynamic software model of a physical
thing or system that relies on sensor data to understand its state, respond to
changes, improve operations and add value. Digital twins include a combination
of metadata (for example, classification, composition and structure), condition
or state (for example, location and temperature), event data (for example, time
series), and analytics (for example, algorithms and rules).
Blockchain
and Distributed Ledgers
Blockchain is a type of distributed ledger in which value
exchange transactions (in bitcoin or other tokens) are sequentially grouped
into blocks. Each block is chained to the previous block and recorded across a
peer-to-peer network, using cryptographic trust and assurance mechanisms.
Blockchain and distributed-ledger concepts are gaining traction because they
hold the promise to transform industry operating models. While the current hype
is around the financial services industry, there are many possible applications
including music distribution, identity verification, title registry and supply
chain.
Conversational
System
The current focus for conversational interfaces is focused
on chatbots and microphone-enabled devices (e.g., speakers smartphones,
tablets, PCs, automobiles). However, the digital mesh encompasses an expanding set
of endpoints people use to access applicatons and information, or interact with
people, social communities, governments, and businesses. The device mesh moves
beyond the traditional desktop computer and multiple devices to encompass the
full range of endpoints with which humans might interact. As the device mesh
evolves, connection models will expand and greater cooperative interaction
between devices will emerge, creating the foundation for a new continuous and
ambient digital experience.
Mesh App and
Service Architecture
In the mesh app and service architecture (MASA), mobile
apps, web apps, desktop apps and IoT apps link to a broad mesh of back-end
services to create what users view as an "application." The
architecture encapsulates services and exposes APIs at multiple levels and
across organizational boundaries balancing the demand for agility and
scalability of services with composition and reuse of services. The MASA
enables users to have an optimized solution for targeted endpoints in the
digital mesh (e.g., desktop, smartphone, automobile) as well as a continuous
experience as they shift across these different channels.
Digital
Technology Platforms
Digital technology platforms provide the basic building
blocks for a digital business and are a critical enabler to become a digital
business. Gartner has identified the five major focal points to enable the new
capabilities and business models of digital business — information systems,
customer experience, analytics and intelligence, the IoT, and business
ecosystems. Every organization will have some mix of these five digital
technology platforms. The platforms provide the basic building blocks for a
digital business and are a critical enabler to become a digital business.
Adaptive Security
Architecture
The intelligent digital mesh and related digital technology
platforms and application architectures create an ever-more-complex world for
security. "Established security technologies should be used as a baseline
to secure Internet of Things platforms," said Mr. Cearley.
"Monitoring user and entity behavior is a critical addition that is
particularly needed in IoT scenarios. However, the IoT edge is a new frontier
for many IT security professionals creating new vulnerability areas and often
requiring new remediation tools and processes that must be factored into IoT
platform efforts."
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